Variety The Rewards Circuit section is home to all rewards news and related content throughout the year, including the following: Official predictions for the next Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony prize-giving, organized by Variety awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’s assessment of the current race standings and do not reflect personal preferences for any movie or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Forecasts are updated every Thursday.
LAST UPDATE: Oct 27, 2022
Oscars 2023 Predictions: Best Costume Design
Shonka Dukureh as Big Mama Thornton in “Elvis”
Warner. Pictures of Bros
CATEGORY COMMENT: Ruth E. Carter became the first black woman to win this category for “Black Panther” (2018). With two other nominations for “Malcolm X” (1992) and “Amistad” (1997), she even has a few snubs to her credit, including “Dolemite Is My Name” (2019). Her work on “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” is another worthy entry that could bring her back to the stage.
Other headline titles vying for Best Costume Design include Catherine Martin’s musical threads in ‘Elvis’, Gersha Phillips’ creation of Dahomey in ‘The Woman King’ and Mary Zophres’ next look at the old Hollywood in “Babylon”.
See the latest movie predictions, across all 23 categories, in one place on Variety Oscar Collective.
To see ranked predictions for each individual category, visit Variety Oscar Center.
ALL CONTAINERS AND PRICE RANKINGS:
And the expected nominees are:
Rank
Film
Costume designer(s)
Distributer
1
“Elvis”
Catherine Martin
Warner Bros.
The life of American music icon Elvis Presley, from his childhood to becoming a rock and movie star in the 1950s while maintaining a complex relationship with his manager, Colonel Tom Parker.
2
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
Ruth E. Carter
marvel studios
The nation of Wakanda stands against intervening world powers as they mourn the loss of their King T’Challa.
3
“The Fabelmans”
Mark the bridges
Universal images
A semi-autobiography based on Spielberg’s own childhood in postwar Arizona, aged seven to eighteen.
4
“The Woman King”
Gersha Phillips
Tri Star Pictures
A historical epic inspired by real events that took place in the Kingdom of Dahomey, one of the most powerful states in Africa in the 18th and 19th centuries.
5
“Until”
Marci Rodgers
Release of Orion/United Artists
The story of Emmett Louis Till and the legacy of his mother who sought justice for her lynched son.
Next in line
6
“Babylon”
Marie Zophres
Paramount Pictures
Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mix of historical and fictional characters.
seven
“Empire of Light”
Alexandra Byrne
Projector images
“Empire of Light” is a love story set in and around a beautiful old cinema on the south coast of England in the 1980s.
8
“Speaking Women”
Leave Alfred
MGM/United Artists release
A group of women in an isolated religious colony as they struggle to reconcile their faith with a series of sexual assaults by the men of the colony.
9
“Everything, everywhere, all at once”
Shirley Kurata
A24
An aging Chinese immigrant is drawn into a crazy adventure, where only she can save the world by exploring other universes related to the lives she could have led.
ten
“Glass Onion: A Mystery at Daggers Drawn”
jenny eagan
netflix
The famous southern detective Benoit Blanc travels to Greece for his latest case.
Other top contenders
11
“Don’t Worry Honey”
Arianne Phillips
Warner Bros.
12
“Emancipation”
Francine Jamison-Tanchuck
Apple Original Movies
13
“The Nordic”
Linda Muir
Focus characteristics
14
“Downton Abbey: A New Era”
Maja Meschede, Anna Robbins
Focus characteristics
15
“White noise”
Anne-Roth
netflix
16
“Living”
Sandy Powell
Sony Pictures Classics
17
Amsterdam
JR Hawkaker, Albert Wolsky
20th century workshops
18
“The Wonder”
Odile Dicks Mireaux
netflix
19
“The Pale Blue Eye”
Kasia Walicka-Maimone
netflix
20
“The Time of Armageddon”
Madeline Weeks
Focus characteristics
Also in the running
21
“Avatar: The Way of the Water”
Bob Buck, Deborah Lynn Scott
20th century workshops
22
“Argentina, 1985”
Monica Tochi
Amazon Studios
23
Top Gun: Maverick
Marlene Stewart
Paramount Pictures
24
“The Banshees of Inisherin”
Eimer Ni Mhaoldomhnaigh
Projector images
25
“Mr. Malcolm’s List”
Pam Down
Amazon Studios
26
“My Policeman”
Annie Symons
Amazon Studios
27
“She says”
Loar of Brittany
Universal images
28
“Matilda”
Rob Howell
netflix
29
“All the Old Knives”
Stephanie Colley
Amazon Studios
30
“The menu”
Amy Westcott
Projector images
List of all contenders (without alphabetical order)
—
“A Man Called Otto”
Frank L. Fleming
Sony pictures
—
“All the Old Knives”
Stephanie Colley
Amazon Studios
—
Amsterdam
JR Hawkaker, Albert Wolsky
20th century workshops
—
“Argentina, 1985”
Monica Tochi
Amazon Studios
—
“The Time of Armageddon”
Madeline Weeks
Focus characteristics
—
“Athena”
be added
netflix
—
“Avatar: The Way of the Water”
Bob Buck, Deborah Lynn Scott
20th century workshops
—
“Babylon”
Marie Zophres
Paramount Pictures
—
“Bardo (or false chronicle of a handful of truths)”
Anna Terrazas
netflix
—
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
Ruth E. Carter
marvel studios
—
“Bones and All”
Giulia Piersanti
MGM/United Artists release
—
“Brothers”
be added
Universal images
—
“Catherine called Birdy”
Julian Day
Amazon Studios
—
“Pavement”
be added
A24/Apple Original Films
—
“Departure Decision”
be added
Mubi
—
“Don’t Worry Honey”
Arianne Phillips
Warner Bros.
—
“Downton Abbey: A New Era”
Maja Meschede, Anna Robbins
Focus characteristics
—
“Elvis”
Catherine Martin
Warner Bros.
—
“Emancipation”
Francine Jamison-Tanchuck
Apple Original Movies
—
“Emergency”
ice white
Amazon Studios
—
“Empire of Light”
Alexandra Byrne
Projector images
—
“Everything, everywhere, all at once”
Shirley Kurata
A24
—
“Glass Onion: A Mystery at Daggers Drawn”
jenny eagan
netflix
—
“Good luck to you, Leo Grande”
Sian Jenkins
Projector images
—
Pinocchio by Guillermo del Toro
be added
netflix
—
“Event”
be added
IFC Films
—
“Holy Spider”
be added
Utopia
—
“A love song”
Stine Dahlmann
Bleecker Street
—
“The History of Montana”
Katherine George
Bleecker Street
—
“Living”
Sandy Powell
Sony Pictures Classics
—
“Matilda”
Rob Howell
netflix
—
“Master”
Mirren Gordon Crozier
Amazon Studios
—
“Mr. Malcolm’s List”
Pam Down
Amazon Studios
—
“My Policeman”
Anne Symon
Amazon Studios
—
“Break”
Eric Yake
Bleecker Street
—
“Nanny”
Charlese Antoinette Jones
Amazon Studios
—
“She says”
Loar of Brittany
Universal images
—
“Spoiler Alert”
be added
Focus characteristics
—
“Tar”
Bina Daigeler
Focus characteristics
—
“The Banshees of Inisherin”
Eimer Ni Mhaoldomhnaigh
Projector images
—
“The Fabelmans”
Mark the bridges
Universal images
—
“The Greatest Beer Race Ever”
be added
Apple Original Movies
—
“The Inspection”
be added
A24
—
“The menu”
Amy Westcott
Projector images
—
“The Pale Blue Eye”
Kasia Walicka-Maimone
netflix
—
“The Nordic”
Linda Muir
Focus characteristics
—
“The son”
Lisa Duncan
Sony Pictures Classics
—
“The whale”
Danny Glicker
A24
—
“The Woman King”
Gersha Phillips
Tri Star Pictures
—
“The Wonder”
Odile Dicks Mireaux
netflix
—
“Thirteen Lives”
Tess Schofield
Amazon Studios/MGM
—
“Three thousand years of nostalgia”
be added
MGM/United Artists release
—
“Until”
Marci Rodgers
Release of Orion/United Artists
—
Top Gun: Maverick
Marlene Stewart
Paramount Pictures
—
“Triangle of Sadness”
Sofie Krunegard
Neon
—
“White noise”
Anne-Roth
netflix
—
“Speaking Women”
Leave Alfred
MGM/United Artists release
Oscars 2023 Predictions
BEST PHOTO | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORT ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCENARIO | ADAPTED SCENARIO | ANIMATED FILM | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIR | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SHEET | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FILM | INTERNATIONAL FILE | ANIMATION SHORT | SHORT DOCUMENTARY | SHORT LIVE ACTION SHORT
The 95th Academy Awards will be held at the Dolby Theater and will be televised live Sunday, March 12, 2022 on ABC.
2022 Category Winner: “Cruel” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Jenny Beavan
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