Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
FX
Weekly Commentary (Updated: June 18, 2024): We have 217 names in the awards discussion for supporting drama actresses this year, compared to 196 last year and 319 and 385 in the previous two years. This category is likely to yield nominees from the fewest number of shows.
Netflix’s final season of its royal drama “The Crown” is expected to secure nominations for frontrunners Elizabeth Debicki and Lesley Manville, who occupy the top two spots. FX’s “Shōgun” follows closely, with three strong contenders—Fumi Nikaido, Moeka Hoshi, and Yuka Kouri—all having a fair shot at a nomination.
The competition is fierce between the women of Apple’s “The Morning Show” and HBO/Max’s “The Gilded Age.” Both shows have at least half a dozen potential nominees.
The strongest contenders for “The Morning Show” are Greta Lee, Holland Taylor, and Nicole Beharie. Meanwhile, “The Gilded Age” features Emmy favorites such as Christine Baranski and Cynthia Nixon. Based on recent trends, focusing on one standout from each show may not be the best-predicting strategy rather than dividing votes among multiple candidates, as Emmy voters no longer tend to vote that way.
For a possible surprise, keep an eye on Kristin Scott Thomas from “Slow Horses,” who could join her co-star Gary Oldman, or veteran Leslie Uggams from “Fallout,” especially if her co-stars Walton Goggins and Ella Purnell receive nominations in their respective categories.
This year, multiple performances across various genres might also get recognition. For example, Anthony Ramos received a nod for “Hamilton” despite his superior work in “In Treatment.” This trend could benefit someone like Emmy winner Archie Panjabi for “Hijack,” who also delivered a highly acclaimed performance in Hulu’s “Under the Bridge.”
Nominations-round voting is open from June 13 to June 24. Voting for peer group-specific panels (if applicable) takes place between June 28 and July 8. The Emmy nominations will be announced on July 17. The Creative Arts and Governors Gala ceremonies will be held on Sept. 7-8. The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will air on ABC on Sunday, Sept. 15.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
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Image Credit: Netflix And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank Performer and Series 1 Elizabeth Debicki — “The Crown” (Netflix) 2 Lesley Manville — “The Crown” (Netflix) 3 Fumi Nikaido — “Shōgun” (FX) 4 Moeka Hoshi — “Shōgun” (FX) 5 Christine Baranski — “The Gilded Age” (Max) 6 Cynthia Nixon — “The Gilded Age” (Max) 7 Audra McDonald — “The Gilded Age” (Max) Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series -
Image Credit: Apple TV+ Next in Line
Rank Performer and Series 8 Greta Lee — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 9 Holland Taylor — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 10 Nicole Beharie — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 11 Leslie Uggams — “Fallout” (Prime Video) 12 Kristen Scott Thomas — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+) 13 Julianna Margulies — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 14 Kelli O’Hara — “The Gilded Age” (Max) 15 Archie Panjabi — “Hijack” (Apple TV+) Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series -
Image Credit: Paramount+ Also in Contention
Rank Performer and Series 16 Karen Pittman — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 17 Rosalind Chao — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix) 18 Eiza González — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix) 19 Sophia Di Martino — “Loki” (Disney+) 20 Mary Elizabeth Winstead — “Ahsoka” (Disney+) 21 Harriet Walter — “Silo” (Apple TV+) 22 Celia Rose Gooding — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+) 23 Carol Kane — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” 24 Yuka Kouri — “Shōgun” (FX) 25 Amy Ryan — “Sugar” (Apple TV+) Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series -
Eligible Performers (Supporting Drama Actress)
Image Credit: ED MILLER/NETFLIX **Officially submitted and on the Emmy nominations ballot.
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More Information (Supporting Drama Actress)
Image Credit: Apple TV+ 2023 category winner: Jennifer Coolidge — “The White Lotus” (Max) — Season 2
2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)
- Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024
- Feb. 29: Submissions open
- May 9: Deadline for programs identifying as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.
- June 13: Nominations-round voting begins
- June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT
- June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)
- July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.
- July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.
- August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.
- August 15: Final-round voting begins.
- August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.
- Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala
- Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.
Emmy Prediction Categories
Drama Comedy Limited/Movie Drama Series Comedy Series Limited or Anthology Series Lead Actor (Drama) Lead Actor (Comedy) Lead Actor (Limited, Movie) Lead Actress (Drama) Lead Actress (Comedy) Lead Actress (Limited, Movie) Supporting Actor (Drama) Supporting Actor (Comedy) Supporting Actor (Limited, Movie) Supporting Actress (Drama) Supporting Actress (Comedy) Supporting Actress (Limited, Movie) Directing, Writing (Drama) Directing, Writing (Comedy) Directing, Writing (Limited, Movie) Guest Acting (Drama) Guest Acting (Comedy) Television Movie Talk Series & Scripted Variety Game Show/Host Reality Programs Documentary (Series, Special, Hosted Nonfiction, Exceptional Merit) Variety Special (Live, Pre-Recorded) Animation/Voice-Over 2024 Primetime Emmy Prediction Categories About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence; the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards, recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship; and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy hosts the Emmys and has over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.
