Variety The Rewards Circuit section is home to all rewards news and related content throughout the year, including the following: Official predictions for the next Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony prize-giving, organized by Variety awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’s assessment of the current race standings and do not reflect personal preferences for any movie or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Forecasts are updated every Thursday.
LAST UPDATE: September 21, 2022
See the latest movie predictions, across all 23 categories, in one place on Variety Oscar Collective.
To see ranked predictions for each individual category, visit Variety Oscar Center.
Awards Season Schedule (2022-2023) – Coming soon
Oscars 2023 Predictions
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Awards Circuit Archives (Film Chronicle)
- Michelle Williams to campaign for ‘The Fabelmans’ lead actress, in support of Race Now Wide Open
- ‘RRR’ team reacts to India not selecting her for Oscars, urges Academy to vote for her in other categories
- Brendan Fraser is back
- Can Harry Styles really get an Oscar nomination for his role?
- ‘Wendell and Wild’ puts Jordan Peele and Henry Selick at the forefront of heated Oscar race
- Steven Spielberg’s ‘The Fabelmans’ Might Be Best Picture Oscar Favorite
- Mystery solved! ‘Glass Onion’ Kills At TIFF And Should Be Netflix’s Best Pony
- ‘The Woman King’ rules TIFF and I hope the Oscars take notice
- ‘The Inspection’ takes Jeremy Pope and Gabrielle Union into the race for the Oscars
- Five Things About Oscar Season We Learned at Telluride
- In the name of the father: With ‘The son’, Hugh Jackman’s Best Actor Oscar has arrived
- How ‘Close’, ‘Holy Spider’ and ‘Sr.’ Highlight the need for more documentaries and internationals in the best picture
- Taylor Russell Brings Cannibal Magic to ‘Bones and All’ – Will the Academy Bite?
- Despite Florence Pugh’s Fearless Turn, ‘Don’t Worry Darling’ Isn’t a Major Oscar Candidate
- ‘Empire of Light’ is an old-school Oscar contender with a career-best performance from Olivia Colman
- Buddy Comedy Duo Colin Farrell and Brendan Gleeson Enter Oscar Race for ‘The Banshees of Inisherin’
- ‘Tár’ could bring Cate Blanchett his third Oscar and Todd Field his first Oscar
- ‘Women Talking’ Soars in Telluride, Sarah Polley Could Be Third Consecutive Director to Win an Oscar
- ‘Bardo’ or Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s dark vision of life that voters will not understand
- The Venice Film Festival sets the stage for the international race for the Oscars with “Bardo” and “Argentina 1985”
- How India’s Epic Action ‘RRR’ Could Bring the Country’s First Oscar Nomination in 21 Years
- Is Jordan Peele’s Newborn an Oscar Nominee? “No”, but he is our modern day Hitchcock
- Who will be the new president of the Academy? Meet the favorites to lead the Oscars
- The 19 Oscar contenders of the year so far include ‘Elvis,’ ‘Everything Everywhere,’ and ‘Top Gun: Maverick’
- Austin Butler’s transformation in ‘Elvis’ will offer a little more conversation at the Best Actor Oscars
- ‘Crimes of the Future’ won’t make it to the Oscars, but it’s time for David Cronenberg to get the honorary treatment
- How ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ and Tom Cruise’s Need for Speed Could Steal the Oscars
- There will be a ‘triangle of sadness’ if the prizes are not awarded to Ruben Östlund and Dolly De Leon
- ‘Three thousand years of nostalgia’ could be the first contender for the Best Picture Oscar at Cannes
- ‘Armageddon Time’ Proves Not All Author’s Childhood Portraits Are an Oscar Slam Dunk
- Cannes Oscar hopefuls include ‘Elvis’, ‘Armageddon Time’ and ‘Top Gun: Maverick’
- Do ‘Everything Everywhere’, ‘Northman’ and ‘Unbearable Weight’ deliver more action than voters can handle?
- Not so fast Will Smith, Chris Rock and the Academy: There are more people who deserve an apology (Chronicle)
- Oscars 2023: our first blind predictions, from “Fabelmans” to “Flower Moon”
Awards Circuit Podcast Interview Archive (Film)
- Variety The Third Season of The Awards Circuit Podcast Begins September 29, 2022
The 95th Academy Awards will be held at the Dolby Theater and will be televised live Sunday, March 12, 2022 on ABC. Voting for the Oscar nomination begins January 12, 2023, until January 17, 2023. Oscar nominations will be announced on Tuesday, January 24, 2023.
About Variety Rewards circuit:
Variety unparalleled coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as in-house reporting on all of this year’s awards season racing contenders. In addition to predictions, the section includes – Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting racing trends and contenders; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with top awards contenders and a panel discussion with top Variety editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by top experts.