Best live-action predictions for the Oscars 2023

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The variety The Rewards Circuit section is home to all rewards news and related content throughout the year, including the following: Official predictions for the next Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony prize-giving, organized by The variety awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’s assessment of the current race standings and do not reflect personal preferences for any movie or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Forecasts are updated every Thursday.

LAST UPDATE: December 22, 2022

Oscars 2023 Predictions: Best Live Action Short Film

Image from “Warsha”

CATEGORY COMMENT: The big takeaway from the Oscars shortlist announcement was a full lineup that doesn’t feature any US titles. All but Tom Berkeley and Ross White’s “An Irish Goodbye” are not in English, which could be a plus for Oscar nominee voting which begins Jan. 12.

The increase in non-English titles should not be construed as a “bad thing” as we constantly encourage Academy members to seek out more non-traditional and international titles. However, this could point to another example of how increasing the number of international voters has had an incredible effect.

It could also point to the omissions of two music superstars – Taylor Swift (“All Too Well”) and Kendrick Lamar (“We Cry Together”) – being snubbed from the shortlist.

The most recognizable name in the discussion is four-time Oscar winner Alfonso Cuarón, who produced Disney’s “The Pupil” by writer and director Alice Rohrwacher. Making stops at the Cannes, Telluride and Toronto Film Festivals, the film might have the most buzz to get it to the finish line.

The Criterion Channel made a major flex in the short film categories, notably with Dania Bdeir’s “Warsha,” the story of a Beirut crane operator living his secret passion.

They will be more fashionable to consider when people start looking at them during the holidays.

See the latest movie predictions, across all 23 categories, in one place on Variety Oscar Collective. To see ranked predictions for each individual category, visit Variety Oscar Center.

ALL CONTAINERS AND PRICE RANKINGS:

An image from “An Irish Goodbye”

And the expected nominees are:
Rank Last name Director(s) Distributor(s)
1 “An Irish Goodbye” Tom Berkeley, Ross White Projector images
In rural Northern Ireland, two estranged brothers reunite after the untimely death of their mother.
2 “The Pupil” Alice Rohrwacher Disney+
Follow the rebellious girls of a Catholic boarding school before Christmas, a time of war and famine.
3 “The Red Suitcase” Cyrus Neshvad cynefilms
Luxembourg airport. Late in the evening. A 16-year-old Iranian woman, veiled, is afraid to take her red suitcase on the automatic carpet. She keeps putting off the moment to walk through the arrival gate and seems more and more terrified.
4 “Warsha” Dania Bdeir The criterion channel
Out of sight, a crane operator from Beirut can live his secret passion and find freedom.
5 “Nacam” Andreas Kesler Filmakademie Baden-Württemberg
Mitka, a twelve-year-old violinist, is supposed to carry out an attack on several SS officers on behalf of a Ukrainian partisan movement. But his attempt will also put his only friend in mortal danger.
Next in line
6 “Ivalu” Anders Walter M&M Productions
Ivalu is gone. Her little sister is desperate to find her. His father doesn’t care. Greenland’s vast nature hides secrets. The search for Ivalu is on.
7 “Sidereal” carlos segundo The animation showcase
In Natal, on the Brazilian coast, the country is preparing to launch its first manned space rocket into space. A couple lives with children near the space center, she is a cleaner and he is a mechanic, but she dreams of other horizons.
8 “The Right Words” Adrien Moyse Dullin Punchline Cinema
When naive and romantic Mahdi is pressured by his peers to confess his love to Jada, a girl who doesn’t know he exists, his declaration becomes a public spectacle.
9 “Almost Home” Nils Keller The Hof Media
When they learn of the outbreak of a dangerous virus shortly before their long-awaited return to Earth, a teenager and his mother struggle to decide whether to land or return to space aboard their confined spacecraft.
ten “All in favour” Santiago Requejo Movies 2:59
What begins as an ordinary meeting of neighbors to vote on changing the elevator, ends up becoming an unexpected debate about the limits of coexistence.
Also in the running
— “The lonely wolf” Philippe Melo Production strength
— “Night Stroll” Eirik Tveiten Cylinder production
— “Plastic Killer” Jose Pozo Arlong Productions
— “The treatment” Alvaro Carmona line shorts
— ” Where are you now “ Beatrice Silva Freak Audiovisual Agency

Oscars 2023 Predictions

BEST PHOTO | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORT ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCENARIO | ADAPTED SCENARIO | ANIMATED FILM | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIR | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SHEET | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FILM | INTERNATIONAL FILE | ANIMATION SHORT | SHORT DOCUMENTARY | SHORT LIVE ACTION SHORT

The 95th Academy Awards will be held at the Dolby Theater and will be broadcast live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2022.

2022 Category Winner: “The Long Goodbye” (WePresent) – Aniel Karia, Riz Ahmed

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