Variety The Awards Circuit section brings together all the news about awards and related content throughout the year, including the following: official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards, hosted by Variety awards editor Clayton Davis. Predictions pages reflect the current race standings and do not reflect the personal preferences of any individual competitor. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Forecasts are updated every Thursday.
Visit the respective ceremony prediction pages via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMY | GRAMMYS | TONY
UPDATE: April 13, 2023
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
Wednesday
netflix
Weekly Commentary: Kerry Washington is quite brilliant in the Hulu comedy series “Unprisoned” alongside Delroy Lindo. Although she was an Emmy winner (for Outstanding Variety Special for “Live in Front of a Studio Audience: ‘All in the Family’ and ‘Good Times'”), she never won for playing despite the names for the limited series “Little Fires Everywhere,” the TV movie “Confirmation,” and for the drama series “Scandal.”
It’s something new for her, and she pulls off a complicated role with heart and sincerity, which the TV Academy might recognize.
Selena Gomez, the influential superstar of Hulu’s “Only Murders in the Building,” was sadly omitted from the lead actress in a comedy category for the show’s first season. For her second outing as dry-witted Mabel, she’s even better, making the odds of another omission even worse for the TV Academy.
But there is hope. With a seemingly less competitive run for the lead actress comedy this time around, Gomez’s chances are better, especially with back-to-back “Hacks” winner Jean Smart out of the running this year. One of the six probably coveted slots (based on the total number of submissions) could belong to him.
Nominated for Outstanding Comedy Series as one of the first season’s executive producers, Gomez made history as the third Latina ever recognized after Salma Hayek (“Ugly Betty”) and Marlis Pujol (“The Way Kominsky”). She’ll be looking for a double name this time around.
The race still has many favorites in the ranks, including past winners and nominees.
Creator, writer, and “Abbott Elementary” star Quinta Brunson might be the front-runner with the mockumentary’s standout second season. However, she could face stiff competition from Rachel Brosnahan or Christina Applegate, who are campaigning for their final seasons of “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” and “Dead to Me.”
Freshman shows will have contenders to add, including Natasha Lyonne of Peacock’s “Poker Face” and Jenna Ortega for Netflix’s “Wednesday.”
And then there are the underrated artists, who still hope to be recognized after several seasons and years in the business. Among those are Bridget Everett of “Somebody Somewhere” and Robin Thede of “A Black Lady Sketch Show,” both from HBO.
Voting for Emmy nominations takes place June 15-26. Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and subject to change.
And the expected nominees are:
- Christina Applegate — “dead to me” (Netflix)
- Elle Fanning — “Great” (Hulu)
- Kerry Washington — “Not imprisoned” (Hulu)
- Amy Schumer — “Inside Amy Schumer” (Paramount+)
Other high-level possibilities
- Natasia Demtriou — “What we do in the shadows” (FX)
- Maya Rudolph — “Booty” (Apple TV+)
- Tatiana Maslany — “She-Hulk: Lawyer” (Disney+)
- Ana Gasteyer — “American car” (Peacock)
- Helen Yorke — “The two others” (HBO)
- Cecile Forte — “Schmidadon!” (Apple TV+)
- Linda Cardellini — “dead to me” (Netflix)
- Robin Thede — “A dark lady sketch show” (HBO)
- Devery Jacobs — “Reservation dogs” (FX)
- Rose McIver — “Ghosts(SCS)
All eligible titles (literate by network)**
**This official list and category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 Category Winner: Jean Smart — “Hacks” (HBO) — Season 2
Emmy Awards Prediction Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGICAL SERIES | TV FILM | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEADING ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEADING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SECONDARY ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPT VARIETIES SERIES | GAME SHOW | DIRECTION (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED FILM/TV) | SKETCHES OF VARIETY, SERIES, SPECIALS |
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
INTERIM GUEST, VOICE-OFF | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are presented by the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American prime-time television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (recognizes achievement in craftsmanship), and Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant contributions in engineering and technology). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy has over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.