Where do the Golden Globe winners stand in the Oscar races?

Locate the #filmTwitter speech that globes don’t matter – or do they?

On a redemption tour that left the HFPA more vulnerable than ever, the Golden Globes returned to NBC, with host Jerrod Carmichael’s refreshing spin on the awards show hosts, in which he delivered spicy Scientology jokes and told Steven Spielberg he watched “The Fabelmans” with Kanye West, and it “changed everything.”

Despite Carmichael, the production wasn’t groundbreaking enough to signal that a format with falling ratings is about to make a comeback. The production team and 95th Academy Awards host Jimmy Kimmel will have to keep trying to crack that code.

So what did we learn about the landscape of this year’s Oscars?

In terms of winners, the night gave presumptive Oscar favorites a platform to make their case to voters in the room (i.e. fellow celebrities, not HFPA members) and in front of a TV audiences, especially with Oscar voting starting on Thursday.

The top two movie categories for Best Drama and Comedy/Musical went to Universal Pictures’ “The Fabelmans” and Searchlight’s “The Banshees of Inisherin.” With the former, it was exactly what the doctor ordered, as ‘Fabelmans’ seemed to stumble last week after a disappointingly long BAFTA list (which omitted Spielberg) and missed key guild endorsements, including l ‘American Society of Cinematographers. . Nevertheless, at the Globes, Spielberg added his third statuette for directing and is now tied with Clint Eastwood, Milos Forman, Martin Scorsese and Oliver Stone as the second most awarded director in Globe history. The presumed favorite since its premiere at the Toronto International Film Festival, “The Fabelmans” has rebounded significantly.

In the case of “Banshees,” which led the tally with eight nods, it also led wins, walking away with Best Picture (Comedy), Best Screenplay for Martin McDonagh and Lead Actor for Colin Farrell. his second career win after “In Bruges” (2008), another McDonagh feature. Farrell’s donkey-loving Irishman topped critics’ awards. , put his own stake in the ground, which could mimic Rami Malek’s winning run for “Bohemian Rhapsody” (2018). But don’t count out “The Whale’s” Brendan Fraser, who could bounce back to the Critics Choice Awards of sunday.

In the Best Actress category, the Globes confirmed the story of the season: it’s a two-horse race between the lesbian bandleader of Cate Blanchett in the psychological drama “Tár” and the owner of the laundromat Michelle Yeoh’s automatic in “Everything Everywhere All at Once”.

For Blanchett, a 12-time nominee, her win was her fourth since bursting onto the scene with the historical biopic “Elizabeth” (1998). The premiere of “Tár” in London on Wednesday kept the Aussie star out of the Globes ceremony, but nonetheless, she is on course to become the eighth person to win three Oscar acting awards.

But not if Yeoh has anything to say about it.

Yeoh became the second Asian to win Lead Actress (Comedy) after Awkwafina in “The Farewell” (2019), which then failed to land an Oscar nod. I think it will be different for Yeoh, though: she would be only the second Asian Oscar nominee since Merle Oberon in “The Dark Angel” (1935).

In the supporting categories, Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) and Angela Bassett (“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”) have asserted their favorite status, and it looks like it could go smoothly until Oscar night in March. The two wins for “Everything” were justified, but some expected a sweep (he missed out on Jamie Lee Curtis for supporting actress, writing and directing for the Daniels, and lost to “Banshees” in comedy/musical category). This is always a best picture race where many pieces have to move to call: checkmate.

The night was short of real shocks, but Amazon Studios’ “Argentina, 1985” was a dropper, overtaking Germany’s “All Quiet on the Western Front” and India’s “RRR,” which didn’t is not the official submission to the Oscars.

Speaking of “RRR,” the dance number “Naatu Naatu” won Best Original Song on the biggest names in music, including Lady Gaga (“Hold My Hand” from “Top Gun: Maverick”), Rihanna ( “Lift Me Up” from “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”) and Taylor Swift (“Carolina” from “Where the Crawdads Sing”). This bodes well for her awards campaign, which continues to gain momentum.” RRR “could be a viable contender for Best Picture and Director for SS Rajamouli.

“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” made Netflix history as the first streamer to win in the animation category, and Del Toro himself, becoming the first Latino to win. Outside of Quan in Best Supporting Actor, the animated feature race may be stalled before the names are announced.

“Babylon” composer Justin Hurwitz picked up his third Globe for original score after “La La Land” (2016), for which he won the Oscar, and “First Man” (2018), for which he was snubbed. We will see how the music branch receives the former winner.

The truth is that Wednesday morning’s SAG and DGA announcements will be much more indicative of the race for the Oscars than the Globes. But nonetheless, chances are we’ve just seen plenty of Oscar winners from this year. “Top Gun: Maverick” may have gone home empty-handed, but it’s not out of the running yet.

Quinta Brunson in “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
ABC

On the TV side, ABC’s “Abbott Elementary” had a strong night, leading the pack in all series with wins for TV Series (Comedy) and actors Quinta Brunson and Tyler James Williams.

FX’s freshman comedy “The Bear” brought its star Jeremy Allen White to the stage for lead actor (comedy), likely kicking off what will be a viable Emmys campaign.

The same goes for Evan Peters, who walked away with the lead actor (limited series or TV movie) for his turn as serial killer Jeffrey Dahmer in Netflix’s controversial “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” by Ryan Murphy. .

HBO won two of the top three series categories for the “Game of Thrones” prequel “House of the Dragon,” the show’s only win (we’ll see if it can last through Emmy season), and for the limited series “The White Lotus,” subtitled “Sicily,” which also scored a supporting actress win for Jennifer Coolidge, who likely broke the record for most beeps during her acceptance speech noisy – and who ruined his character’s ultimate fate from the second season onwards.

Other notable interim winners include Zendaya (“Euphoria”), Julia Garner (“Ozark”), Paul Walter Hauser (“Black Bird”), Amanda Seyfried (“The Dropout”) and Kevin Costner (“Yellowstone”) .

To see the current rankings for each category, visit Variety Oscar Center. Be sure to bookmark the 2022-2023 Awards Season Schedule for all the key dates and deadlines of the season.

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